This past week, we had testimony from General David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker as well as a national address from President Bush. Neither event left us with anything new—no new breakthroughs, no new ideas, no new substantive progress.
One thing new this week, though, was a survey released by ABC News, the BBC, and NHK of Japan. Some findings of the report:
More Iraqis say security in their local area has gotten worse in the last six months than say it’s gotten better, 31 percent to 24 percent, with the rest reporting no change. Far more, six in 10, say security in the country overall has worsened since the surge began, while just one in 10 sees improvement.
More directly assessing the surge itself—a measure that necessarily includes views of the United States, which are highly negative—65 to 70 percent of Iraqis say it’s worsened rather than improved security, political stability and the pace of redevelopment alike.
You can view the full story and download a PDF of the full survey results here. From the full results:
79% of Iraqis oppose the coalition’s presence:

Just under half say the coalition forces should withdrawal now, but far more shocking is the percentage of polled Iraqis that say attacks on U.S. forces are “acceptable.”

So Iraqis don’t support coalition forces being there, and a majority claims attacking those coalition forces is okay. How can we help people who don’t want us to help?
Even after four years occupying and rebuilding Iraq, electricity even for half the day is a precious commodity. In 2005, 41% had electricity for more than 8 hours in a day (from a 2005 ABC News survey):

Two years later, that number should be much higher, yes? Not the case, as only 48% have electricity for more than 8 hours a day:

Two years, and only 9% more have electricity for one-fourth of the day. Not even a full day. One-fourth. If this were in the U.S., it would be unacceptable.
Given these statistics and so many more in the survey, seeing progress in Iraq is difficult. These aren’t the political goals the Iraqi government were to meet, but even with those, failure apparently IS an option, as the GAO gives satisfactory progress on only 3 of 18.
So my question is: why are we still in Iraq? If the Iraqi people aren’t willing to let us help them, and the Iraqi government is not willing to help themselves, why are our troops supporting a country that its citizens cannot or will not support? In the middle of a civil war, why did the Iraqi parliament feel the need to take a month vacation last month? Did the U.S. government take a break during our civil war?
But a withdrawal is simply not that easy for two primary reasons. First, of course, is the question of what happens when we’re gone. Will the civil war escalate to unimaginable proportions? Will ethnic cleansing do the same? And can Iraqi security forces take over from the Americans and hold the security progress our troops have fought so hard for, or will those few secured areas fall back into strife?
But this last question begs a counterpoint: will the Iraqi security forces EVER be able to take over? And how long will it take for them to be ready? Will American forces, then, be necessary for hand-holding until the Iraqis are ready?
The second issue is oil. Oil has to be considered a major issue when discussing our strategy in Iraq. We in America, we in the world, must have oil. Until we can seriously devote ourselves to engineering a viable alternative fuel, we will depend on the Middle East region for our fuel source.
But how enormous of a security threat is our dependence on the Middle East to make this delivery if the region is engulfed in civil war and conflict? If we did not need the Middle East’s oil, how much attention would Americans give to the region? If they have nothing to give us, then we don’t need to care about them, right? At least that’s what Americans would likely think. Take Africa, for instance. How does Africa benefit the average American? And now, how much do we pay attention to the political, economic, and social conflicts in Africa? It’s a harsh but painful and unsettlingly unfortunate reality—they have nothing we need, so why should we pay attention to them? The Middle East, without its oil, would largely become the same situation. But someone may argue, without the world caring about the region, then the strife would continue, and perhaps ethnic cleansing on a large scale would continue. Two words for this person: Darfur and Rwanda.
Ethnic cleansing, though, is already happening in Iraq. The president claims sectarian violence is down, but that’s simply because there are fewer people to kill. If Sunnis aren’t displaced from primarily Shiite regions and Shiites displaced from primarily Sunni regions, then they’re being killed. The map below, from the 20-member military commission headed by retired Marine Gen. James Jones, illustrates the ethnic cleansing (PDF of his report). From July 2006 to July 2007, the tan areas on the map, indicating mixed-Muslim areas, are significantly reduced.

Ethnic cleansing is happening in Iraq RIGHT NOW, and it’s under OUR watch.
The entire unpredictability and uncertainty with the situation is why I on some levels question an immediate withdrawal. But at the same time, I cannot morally ask our troops to serve if I too am not in some way contributing to the war effort, something as big as enlisting to something as small as writing letters and emails or sending care packages to troops in Iraq. It is too easy to ask someone else to do something you don’t want to do yourself.
This issue of drawing a connection to the war effort is another failure of the Bush Administration. At no point during the last four years have Americans been asked or demanded to make some sort of large-scale contribution or sacrifice. The only Americans doing any large-scale contributing or sacrificing are those who either are serving or those who have family members serving. The Bush Administration has failed to make this an organized, American effort.
Failure has been ripe throughout the entire war thus far. From administration failures to Iraqi governmental failures, this war effort has been misguided and mismanaged from the beginning. There has been so little progress made on so many fronts, the question of why we are still there must be asked. And the question deserves a rational, sincere, and honest response.
If Democrats in Congress are serious about ending the war, they could vote tomorrow to cut-off funding for the war. Critics and the president may say they would only be hurting the troops by not providing the funding necessary for critical equipment the troops need. But the Democrats can come back and say the president has had four years now to give the troops all the equipment they’ve needed, and if they don’t have it yet, that’s not the Democrats’ fault.
The president has had four years to prove his plan. We’ve changed strategies, added more troops, set-up benchmarks, and still no substantive progress can be claimed. Our troops are sacrificing for what? It’s time we really do support our troops and bring them home. By this time next year, an overwhelming majority of troops should be redeployed out of Iraq. They have done and continue to do all we ask of them, and now it is time for us to do something for them.
(Nod: ThinkProgress)